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STAAR SURGICAL CO (STAA) Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 revenue was $42.6M, down 45% year over year, but above consensus; EPS was a larger-than-expected loss due to China sell-in pause and restructuring (revenue beat vs estimates; EPS miss) . Consensus: revenue $40.3M*, EPS -$0.60*; Actual: $42.6M and -$1.10; beat on revenue, miss on EPS. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Ex-China revenue grew 9% YoY to $42.2M; China revenue was $0.4M as distributors consumed elevated in-country inventory, consistent with plan to resume normalized China sales in Q3 .
  • Gross margin fell to 65.8% (from 78.9% a year ago) on lower U.S. production volumes, Switzerland ramp costs (~6 pts), and higher excess/obsolete reserves (~4 pts); management targets ~70% in 2H25 before returning to 75–80% longer-term .
  • Guidance was withdrawn given global uncertainty and evolving China tariffs; company executed tariff mitigation (consignment into China) and is ramping Switzerland manufacturing; STAA later authorized a $30M share repurchase (potential stock reaction catalyst) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Ex-China growth: Net sales excluding China rose 9% YoY to $42.2M; regions ex-China posted Y/Y growth (Americas +9%, EMEA +10%, APAC ex-China +8–10%) .
  • Tariff mitigation and supply assurance: Consignment inventory shipped to China ahead of tariff implementation; management believes sufficient inventory in-country to meet most demand into early 2026; Switzerland facility ramp underway to supply China without U.S.-origin tariff exposure .
  • Clear cost actions: $22.7M restructuring, impairment and related charges to right-size operations and target ~$225M SG&A run-rate exiting 2025; majority focused on U.S. .
  • Management tone on China procedures: “In-market demand in China is getting stronger,” and expect normalized recognized sales in Q3, including revenue recognition of prior $27.5M shipment upon payment .

What Went Wrong

  • China sell-in pause crushed reported sales: China revenue was $0.4M in Q1 as distributors consumed existing inventory; global sales down 45% YoY .
  • Gross margin compression: 65.8% vs 78.9% YoY on lower U.S. volumes, Switzerland ramp (≈6 pts), and excess/obsolete inventory reserves (≈4 pts) .
  • EPS miss vs consensus: Diluted EPS -$1.10 vs -$0.60* consensus; adjusted EBITDA swung to a $(26.4)M loss vs $5.3M a year ago . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Guidance withdrawn: February 2025 outlook rescinded due to macro uncertainty and evolving tariff policy, increasing investor modeling difficulty .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$88.6 $49.0 $42.6
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.20 $(0.69) $(1.10)
Gross Margin %64.7% 65.8%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$16.2 $(20.8) $(26.4)
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %18.3% (42.6)% (62.0)%
Net Sales ex-China ($USD Millions)$36.8 $41.4 $42.2
China Sales ($USD Millions)$51.8 $7.5 $0.4

Estimate comparison (Q1 2025):

MetricConsensus*ActualOutcome
Revenue ($USD)$40.3M*$42.6M Beat
EPS (Diluted)-$0.60*-$1.10 Miss
EPS - # of Estimates10*
Revenue - # of Estimates12*
Values retrieved from S&P Global*.

Segment/geography

Sales by Region ($USD Millions)Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Americas$6.0 $6.4 $6.7
EMEA$9.8 $12.9 $12.3
APAC$72.8 $29.7 $23.5
Global Sales$88.6 $49.0 $42.6

Key KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Global ICL Unit Growth YoY6% (39)% (48)%
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Investments ($USD Millions)$230.5 $222.8
Accounts Receivable ($USD Millions)$77.9 $40.0
SG&A ($USD Millions)$59.6 $62.7
Restructuring, Impairment & Related Charges ($USD Millions)$22.7
Net Sales ex-China YoY Growth+17% (ICL ex-China) +9%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Feb 11)Current Guidance (May 7)Change
ICL Sales ex-ChinaFY 2025$165–$175M Withdrawn Withdrawn
China ICL Sales (H1)H1 2025< $5M Minimal purchases; distributors consuming inventory Maintained (qualitative)
China ICL Sales (H2)H2 2025$75–$125M Withdrawn Withdrawn
Gross MarginFY 2025~75% 2H25 target ~70%; long-term 75–80% after Swiss ramp Lower near-term
Adjusted EBITDA (per quarter)H1 2025≈ $(30)M Q1 actual $(26.4)M Better than guide (Q1)
Year-end CashFY 2025$150–$175M Not updated; “cash not expected to drop below $140M before improving in 2H” Maintained YE range; added floor
SG&A Run-rateExit 2025~$225M run-rate Introduced
Capital Allocation6 months$30M share repurchase authorization Introduced

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
China inventory / sell-throughElevated inventory; $27.5M shipped in Dec with extended payment terms, no revenue recognized; rebound hoped for 2H25 Distributors consuming inventory; China sales $0.4M; normalized sales expected in Q3; $27.5M revenue recognition upon payment in Q3 Improving sell-through; Q3 normalization
Tariffs mitigationPlan to leverage Switzerland manufacturing Consignment into China pre-tariff; Switzerland validation/approvals expected summer; capacity target 300k by end-2026 (800k LT) Proactive mitigation advancing
EVO+ (V5) approvalMid-year 2025 expectation On track for China approval mid-year; limited launch Q4’25 contemplated On track
Cost controls2025 ranges and OpEx targeting $22.7M restructuring; SG&A run-rate targeted ~$225M; focus on U.S. inefficiencies Accelerating
Competition (iBright)Acknowledged new entrant Immaterial uptake thus far; may sample/free lenses; welcome awareness expansion Limited impact to date
U.S. strategyHighway 93/Fast Lane; share gains Measured spend reductions; maintain clinical and economic confidence initiatives; broaden funnel beyond laser market Focused, cost-disciplined growth
RegulatoryTaiwan EVO/EVO+ approval; Brazil label expansion to -0.5D Positive regulatory momentum

Management Commentary

  • “We have to do better, and we will… return this great company to sustainable growth that reflects our brand’s earnings power and strength.” — CEO Stephen Farrell .
  • “In-market demand in China is getting stronger… on track to resume more normalized reported sales for China beginning in Q3… expect to recognize in Q3 the $27.5M of sales associated with the Q4 2024 order.” — CEO Stephen Farrell .
  • “Consigned inventory… sufficient to meet most demand through early 2026… ramping Switzerland manufacturing… validations and approvals expected this summer.” — President & COO Warren Foust .
  • “We are targeting 70% gross margin in the second half of 2025… expect a return to 75–80% after Switzerland ramp.” — Interim CFO Deborah Andrews .
  • “We are withdrawing the Company’s previous financial outlook” due to economic uncertainty and evolving tariff policy. — CEO Stephen Farrell .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance withdrawal vs qualitative “color”: Management withdrew formal guidance but provided ranges and confidence commentary; emphasized transparency and near-term inability to be “near certain” amid tariff uncertainty .
  • China trends and inventory: End-market sales consistent through Q1 months; inventory to contractual levels by end of next month; normalized sales Q3; $27.5M payment/revenue by Q3; sufficient in-country/consignment inventory .
  • Tariffs and supply chain: Consignment inventory plus planned Swiss manufacturing to mitigate tariffs; approvals expected summer; optimistic tariffs may ease; contingency plans in place .
  • Competition: iBright impact immaterial; EVO brand strength and toric offering differentiate; competition could expand the pie .
  • Pricing and U.S. go-to-market: No major pricing changes; focus on clinical/economic confidence; measured U.S. cost reductions while sustaining growth initiatives and expanding beyond laser funnel .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 results vs consensus: Revenue $42.6M vs $40.3M* (beat); EPS -$1.10 vs -$0.60* (miss). EPS # of estimates: 10*; Revenue # of estimates: 12*. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.

Where estimates may need to adjust:

  • Model lower near-term gross margin given Switzerland ramp and inventory reserves (management indicates ~70% in 2H25 vs prior ~75%) .
  • Ex-China growth holds; add Q3 China normalization and $27.5M recognition timing to Q3 revenue cadence; consider consignment revenue timing effects .
  • Reflect withdrawn formal FY guidance and tariff uncertainty; build scenarios around tariff evolution and Swiss capacity timing .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q1 prints show ex-China resilience and revenue beat, but EPS was pressured by restructuring and margin headwinds; ex-China momentum remains intact .
  • China normalization is a Q3 story: expect recognized sales to resume then, including $27.5M revenue upon payment; monitor sell-through and inventory reduction milestones .
  • Margin trajectory: expect ~70% GM in 2H25 and path back toward 75–80% as Swiss manufacturing scales and U.S. underutilization abates—model transitional cost drag through 2025 .
  • Tariff mitigation is credible: consignment and Switzerland supply reduce near-term tariff exposure; regulatory timeline in China (EVO+ mid-year) adds potential ASP/product catalyst .
  • Capital allocation signal: $30M buyback authorization highlights management confidence and could support shares near-term amid guidance withdrawal .
  • Cost discipline: $22.7M restructuring and targeted ~$225M SG&A run-rate exiting 2025 should underpin EBITDA recovery in 2H if revenue rebounds as planned .
  • Trading lens: Near-term volatility likely around China/tariff headlines; a Q3 inflection (recognition of consignment and payment) plus EVO+ approval could be positive catalysts—watch monthly China procedure trends and tariff developments .

Additional Documents (Q1 2025 period)

  • STAAR Surgical Reports First Quarter 2025 Results (press release) .
  • Form 8-K including Exhibit 99.1 (press release) and 99.2 (call slides) .
  • Share repurchase authorization ($30M) press release (May 16, 2025) .
  • Board changes and earnings call scheduling (April 23–24, 2025) .

Notes: All non-GAAP metrics per company definitions and reconciliations; adjusted EBITDA reconciliation provided in filings . Constant currency sales provided for transparency .

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